1. Believe X because it would be nice if X were true.
2. Believe X because evidence for the alternative, Y, is not overwhelmingly strong (even though it is stronger than for X).
3. Believe X because smart people believe X, even though I know they haven't thought about it.
4. Believe X because most people believe X, even though I have no respect for their judgement.
These are all surprisingly tempting.
To view the post on a separate page, click: at 11/07/2007 04:35:00 PM (the permalink).